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☆ Jim Cramer says Apple stock could go even lower but sees plenty of reasons it shouldn't stay down
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-23 | by ( Morgan Chittum | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Apple stock has had a lackluster 2024 so far — dropping over 13% since the start of the year. AAPL YTD mountain Apple YTD What's next for Apple stock? As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.

Persons: Jim Cramer, Apple, Jim, Jeff Marks, Jim Cramer's, Christian Organizations: Apple, Research, Huawei, China, U.S, Apple's, Conference, CNBC, Getty Locations: China, Shenzhen, India, Hamburg, Germany

☆ 3 ways Russia's war-time economy is set to weaken after a surprisingly strong 2023
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-25 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Read previewRussia's economy is set to weaken this year, according to researchers from Finland's central bank. Russia won't be able to maintain the surprisingly strong growth it saw, the Bank of Finland's Institute for Emerging Economies said in a recent report. That's a stark contrast from what Russia saw last year, with its economy growing 3.6%, according to Russia's federal statistics service. Russia's long-term potential growth rate, in particular, has been reduced by the shift to a wartime economy," the report said. AdvertisementThe report pointed to three areas of the Russian economy that could take a hit.

Persons: — Organizations: Service, Bank of Finland's Institute, Emerging Economies, Business, Russia, Ukraine, United Nations, Russian Academy of Science's Institute of Economics Locations: Russia, Russian, Ukraine, Moscow

☆ Idris Elba explains why he doesn’t watch ‘The Wire’
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-11 | by ( Nell Lewis | Eoin Mcsweeney | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

Sherbro Island is known for its pristine beaches that are a nesting ground for green sea turtles. The actor was brought up in London, but his mom is from Ghana and his dad from Sierra Leone. Elba: First of all, it’s a beautiful little island off the coast of Sierra Leone. And Sherbro Island used to historically be the point of no return in the slave trade. It was where England had their capital city of Sierra Leone [when it was a colony], in a city called Bonthe, which is still there.

Persons: Idris Elba, Stringer Bell, John Luther, Elba, CNN’s Becky Anderson, It’s, Siaka Stevens, I’ve, CNN's Becky Anderson, Alexa Fogel, they’re, –, ” It’s, Luther, “, I’m Organizations: Abu Dhabi CNN —, Sherbro Alliance Partners, CNN, Sherbro, Partners, CNN CNN Locations: Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi CNN — British, Sierra Leone, Sherbro, Elba, London, Ghana, Chicago, England, Africa, New York, Baltimore, East London, United States, Hollywood, America

☆ China’s exports jump thanks to demand from India, Russia and other emerging markets
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-07 | by ( Laura He | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

Hong Kong CNN —China registered a surprise jump in foreign trade at the start of the year, partly because of strong demand from Russia, India and emerging markets in Africa and Latin America. China’s economy is battling a number of headwinds, including weak consumer and investor confidence, high youth unemployment and a long-running real estate crisis. Apart from the weak base effect, strong demand from emerging markets helped China’s trade surge at the start of the year. Meanwhile, China’s exports to Russia increased 12.5%, representing a slowdown from the rapid growth seen last year. “At the current juncture, it is likely too soon to call for a revival in China’s trade sector,” said HSBC analysts on Thursday.

Persons: ”, Nomura, “, Lynn Song, Biden, Wang Wentao Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Exports, European Union, “, HSBC, Greater China, ING, European Commission, Wall Street Locations: Hong Kong, China, Russia, India, Africa, Latin America, Moscow, United States, Japan, Australia, Greater

☆ A big fine in Europe adds to Apple's 2024 woes. What it will take to get back on track
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-04 | by ( Morgan Chittum | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Apple shares tumbled on Monday after European regulators hit the tech giant with a big antitrust fine over music streaming. The European Commission dished out a $1.95 billion fine — claiming Apple violated competition laws in the music streaming market. Apple and Spotify have rival audio streaming services. "New AI services should compel users to upgrade iPhones, driving a Supercycle in 2025," the analysts said in a note to clients Monday. Melius also sees upside to Apple Services due to AI-infused software features.

Persons: —, Jim Cramer, Jim, Tim Cook, Apple, we're, Melius, Jim Cramer's, Scott Eells Organizations: Apple, European, European Union, Spotify, European Commission, Big Tech, Microsoft, Nvidia, Nvidia's, Huawei, India . Club, Apple Music, Research, Apple Services, CNBC, Nasdaq, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: Europe, American, China, India, New York

☆ Why India’s economy under Modi offers a real alternative to China
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-26 | by ( Diksha Madhok | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

The market value of companies listed on India’s exchanges crossed $4 trillion in late November. But the country is stuck in recession and recently lost its position as the world’s third biggest economy to Germany. While interest in the world’s fifth largest economy is rising, the lofty prices of India’s stocks are scaring some international investors away. According to Macquarie, retail investors alone own 9% of India’s equity market value versus foreign investors at slightly under 20%. China “has a few too many companies which are $100 and $200 billion plus [in value],” Mittal said.

Persons: Peeyush Mittal, there’s, ”, Mittal, They’ve, Narendra Modi, Indranil Mukherjee, Jefferies, “, MSCI, Aditya Suresh, Modi’s, Modi, there’ll, ” Suresh, shoring, Hubert de Barochez, Elon Musk, India “, ” Musk, Suresh, Satish Babu, China “, ” Mittal, Priyanka Agnihotri, Nirmala Sitharaman Organizations: New, New Delhi CNN —, Matthews Asia, Getty, Macquarie Capital, Bharatiya Janata Party, Monetary Fund, Jefferies, Capital Economics, Apple, Foxconn, ”, Workers, Chennai Metro Rail, Advisory, Indian Locations: New Delhi, Jaipur, San Francisco, India, China, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Hong Kong, Japan, Germany, Beijing, Washington, “ India, Macquarie, Chennai, Baltimore

As Prabowo Subianto looks set to succeed Joko Widodo as President, economic growth remains resilient and inflation has stayed low over the past year. But external risks, including Russia's war on Ukraine, continue to cloud the horizon. The World Bank warned in January that global growth will slow for the third consecutive year, to 2.4% in 2024, when the global economy may record the slowest half-decade of GDP growth in 30 years. The government remains hopeful of hitting its 5.2% target in 2024, said Coordinating Minister for Economic Affairs Airlangga Hartarto in early February, acknowledging the risks posed by global economic turmoil, such as the Ukraine-Russia conflict. Regional leadershipTo reach developed country status, a nation typically requires sustained annual economic growth of 7% for 15 consecutive years.

Persons: Prabowo, Joko Widodo, Krisna Gupta, Widodo, Economic Affairs Airlangga Hartarto, Sri Mulyani, Radityo Dharmaputra, Indonesia's Organizations: World Bank, State of, Global, Center, Indonesian, Center for Indonesian, Studies, Bank, Economic Affairs, for Economic Co, OECD, Universitas Airlangga, Ukraine, Insider Studios, Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office Locations: Indonesia, Ukraine, State, Russia, Jakarta, Southeast Asia, Crimea, Subianto

☆ China and Russia no longer perceived as top security threats, research finds
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-13 | by ( Karen Gilchrist | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

China and Russia are considered less of a threat to Western populations now than a year ago, as public concern pivots to non-traditional risks such as mass migration and radical Islam, new research said. Public perception of traditional hard security risks remains higher now than three years ago but has fallen since 2022, the year Russia invaded Ukraine, survey results from the Munich Security Index 2024 showed. Top of the agenda will be the ongoing wars between Russia and Ukraine and Israel and Hamas, as well as NATO expansion and a potential return of Donald Trump to the White House. In the polling of 12,000 people across G7 countries plus Brazil, India, China and South Africa, few Western respondents believed that their country would be more secure and wealthy in 10 years' time. By contrast, most of those in emerging economies thought they would be better off financially and in political terms.

Persons: Donald Trump Organizations: Munich Security Locations: China, Russia, Ukraine, Munich, Israel, Brazil, India, South Africa

☆ ‘A slow fiscal death’ awaits some countries in this 'decade of debt,' says economist Art Laffer
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-07 | by ( Lee Ying Shan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

"I predict that the next 10 years will be the Decade of Debt. It will not end well," Laffer, who is President at investment and wealth advisory Laffer Tengler Investments, told CNBC. As a share of the global gross domestic product, debt has risen to 336%. This compares to an average debt-to-GDP ratio of 110% in 2012 for advanced economies, and 35% for emerging economies. It was 334% in the fourth quarter of 2022, according to the most recent global debt monitor report by the Institute of International Finance.

Persons: it's, Arthur Laffer, Laffer Organizations: Investments, CNBC, Institute of International Finance

☆ BRICS: South Africa says countries are clamoring to join the China and Russia-backed group
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-01 | by ( Simone Mccarthy | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

Hong Kong CNN —Nearly three dozen countries are seeking entry into the China and Russia-backed BRICS economic group, member state South Africa said Wednesday, weeks after the body expanded its membership for the first time in more than a decade. Thirty-four countries have submitted an expression of interest in joining the bloc of major emerging economies, South African Foreign Minister Naledi Pandor told reporters, without naming the nations. BRICS, which since 2011 had been made up of Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa, roughly positions itself as the Global South’s answer to the Group of Seven (G7) major developed economies. The group took shape as a summit-level gathering between Brazil, Russia, India and China in 2009 and expanded to include South Africa two years later. Six new BRICS countries were invited during the 2023 summit last August.

Persons: Naledi Pandor, Xi Jinping, Putin, Pandor Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, African Foreign, United Arab Emirates, United Nations Security Council, Finance Locations: China, Hong Kong, Russia, South Africa, Iran, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Ethiopia, Egypt, United States, Washington, Brazil, India, Beijing, Ukraine, Johannesburg, Russian, Kazan, Argentina

☆ Factories in developing Asia may have seen the worst of manufacturing slump
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-01 | by ( Clement Tan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Photographer: Linh Pham/Bloomberg via Getty Images Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesMost developing economies in Asia might have left the worst of the broad manufacturing slowdown behind in 2023, according to a series of private surveys released Thursday. South Korea's S&P manufacturing purchasing managers' index recorded its first expansionary reading since June 2022 at 51.2 in January, up from 49.9 in December. "The health of the South Korean manufacturing sector registered a renewed improvement at the start of 2024. Growth was reportedly reflective of increased domestic and international orders, particularly for new products," Bhatti added. These private PMI surveys are typically seen as one of several leading indicators of economic activity in the respective economies.

Persons: Linh Pham, Usamah Bhatti, Bhatti, Annabel Fiddes Organizations: Wind Corp, Vung, Renewables, International Energy Agency, Bloomberg, Getty Images Bloomberg, Getty, P Global Market Intelligence, Vietnam, ASEAN, PMI, International Monetary Fund, IMF, " Companies Locations: Tan Thanh, Ba, Vung Tau Province, Vietnam, Asia, China, Taiwan, Malaysia, Thailand

☆ IMF ups emerging Asia growth forecast, warns of China property risks but says India is a bright spot
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-31 | by ( Shreyashi Sanyal | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The International Monetary Fund revised up its growth forecast for developing Asia economies in 2024 as it remained optimistic on India, but warned of risks from China's deepening property sector crisis. It expects emerging economies in Asia to grow at 5.2%, a 0.4 percentage point upgrade from its prior forecast in October. The IMF expects China's economy to grow 4.6% in 2024, a 0.4 percentage point higher estimate than its last forecast in October. Even as it upgraded China's overall growth outlook, it still warned, "deepening property sector woes in China or, elsewhere, a disruptive turn to tax hikes and spending cuts could also cause growth disappointments." The IMF emphasized thorough restructuring policy measures need to be implemented to stem China's property woes.

Organizations: Caixin Media, Monetary Fund, IMF Locations: Beijing, China, Asia, India

☆ iPhone grabs top share in China and analyst negativity abates. What's going right at Apple
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-25 | by ( Morgan Chittum | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

After a rough early start to 2024 and lots of analyst negativity, Apple has turned the corner. The iPhone captured a firm-record 17.3% market share in China last year, according to the International Data Corporation's quarterly phone tracker report . 1 spot in China, Apple made the rare move of offering limited-time iPhone 15 discounts there during this month. Last week, IDC crowned Apple as the biggest smartphone maker in the world , dethroning Samsung for the first time ever. And, just about two weeks ago, we reported that the Street hadn't been this cautious on Apple stock in years.

Persons: Apple, Arthur Guo, Piper Sandler, Apple's, Goldman Sachs, we're, Jim Cramer, Tim Cook, Apple —, Jim, that's, Preorders, Jim Cramer's, Berke Bayur Organizations: Huawei, Vivo, Apple, IDC, Samsung, Barclays, Redburn, Club, Microsoft, Bank of America, Big Tech, CNBC, U.S, Getty Images, Anadolu, Getty Locations: China, India, Indonesia, Brazil, ANKARA, TURKIYE, Ankara, Turkiye, Anadolu

☆ Imagine a better climate pact than COP
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-04 | by ( Hugo Dixon | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +7 min

It’s possible to imagine an alternative, better way to fight climate change. The snag is that China or the United States – which were responsible for 25% and 11% of greenhouse gases, respectively, in 2021 – would have to take the lead. All countries agreed to limit global warming to 2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial times and to aim for 1.5 degrees. That’s the thinking behind the Just Energy Transition Partnerships that the United States and its allies have cut with Indonesia, Vietnam and South Africa. For example, Donald Trump, who as president pulled the United States out of the Paris Agreement, may return to the White House after next year’s elections.

Persons: Vladimir Putin, Xi Jinping, Donald Trump, Peter Thal Larsen, Thomas Shum Organizations: Reuters, of, UN, United, Rio Earth Summit, European, Reuters Graphics Reuters, China, African, Initiative, World Bank, Thomson Locations: Nations, Dubai, China, United States, Paris, U.S, Washington, Beijing, European Union, Japan, Canada, South Korea, United Kingdom, Russia, Russian, Xi Jinping . Washington, India, Brazil, Indonesia, African Union, Vietnam, South Africa

☆ Wall Street underscores why we're in Apple and Microsoft for the long haul
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-04 | by ( Morgan Chittum | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

A new batch of Wall Street commentary on Monday highlights exactly why we're bullish on mega cap tech stocks Apple (AAPL) and Microsoft (MSFT). AAPL YTD mountain Apple (AAPL) year-to-date performance New data from UBS indicated that Apple continues to grab market share in India. That's one of many reasons why the Club continues to reiterate an "own it, don't trade it" stance on Apple stock. Microsoft also confirmed that the company has had consistent access and rights to all of OpenAI's intellectual property and technology. Microsoft stock, up over 53% year-to-date, was trading 1.49% lower Monday, at $368.09.

Persons: OpenAI, Apple, Tim Cook, We're, –, Sam Altman, Altman, Piper Sandler, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Brendan Mcdermid Organizations: Apple, Microsoft, UBS, Analysts, CNBC, Counterpoint Research, –, Huawei, U.S, Traders, New York Stock Exchange Locations: India, U.S, China, Europe, OpenAI, New York City

An electronic board shows Shanghai and Shenzhen stock indexes, at the Lujiazui financial district in Shanghai, China October 25, 2022. But the extent of the political and economic jitters merely mirrors other signs of a long-term China exit well beyond portfolio flows. Earlier this month, China recorded its first-ever quarterly deficit in "bricks and mortar" foreign direct investment (FDI). What's more, a multi-year aversion to China investments then risks colliding with deteriorating long-term economic growth dynamics - heightened by rising youth unemployment and dire demographics. Despite some recent upgrades of China growth forecasts, yet another business survey this week raised red flags.

Persons: Aly, Gina Raimondo, Nicholas Lardy, Xi, Lardy, What's, Morgan Stanley, Morgan Stanley's, Mike Dolan, Paul Simao Organizations: REUTERS, Official Monetary, Financial, Reuters, . Commerce, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Thomson Locations: Shanghai, Shenzhen, China, OMFIF, Europe, North America, India, Brazil, Beijing, U.S, Washington, San Francisco

☆ Emerging world needs climate finance and to burn coal, India says
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-30 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

REUTERS/Mukesh Gupta/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNEW DELHI, Nov 30 (Reuters) - Emerging economies need climate finance, help with technology and the right to pursue development, India's Prime Minister Narendra Modi said on Thursday before leaving for the UN climate summit in Dubai. The COP28 summit opened in Dubai on Thursday for two weeks of talks. Emerging powers, including India and China, often blame the developed world for having used more than its share of the available carbon resources. Earlier on Thursday, Foreign Secretary Vinay Mohan Kwatra said coal would remain India's main source of energy for years to come. "Coal is, and would, remain an important part of India's energy needs," he told reporters.

Persons: Mukesh Gupta, Narendra Modi, Vinay Mohan Kwatra, Kwatra, Sarita Chaganti Singh, Jacqueline Wong, Miral Fahmy, Barbara Lewis Organizations: REUTERS, India's, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Jammu, DELHI, Dubai, India, China, France, United States, COP28

Helping these countries, which face some of the biggest risks from climate change, access these will be a key aim during the COP28 climate talks underway in Dubai. Ambitions for results at COP28 got off to a good start on the opening day on Thursday when countries approved plans for the climate disaster fund, after months of negotiations. About 60% of low-income countries are either in or at high risk of debt distress, the CDP said. The Central Asia Regional Economic Cooperation Program, for example, aims to agree a disaster relief bond issuance and a regional risk transfer facility, the ADB's Principal Disaster Risk Insurance and Finance Specialist, Thomas Kessler, told Reuters. "We are ready to scale up climate protection through early warning systems, anticipatory cash, climate insurance and community-based resilience projects," said Gernot Laganda, director of Climate and Disaster Risk Reduction at the United Nations World Food Programme.

Persons: COP28, Ekhosuehi Iyahen, IDF's Iyahen, Michèle Plichta, Lydia Poole, Odile Renaud, Basso, Thomas Kessler, Otis, Gernot Laganda, Alessandro Parodi, Simon Jessop, Libby George, Karin Strohecker, Susan Fenton Organizations: Insurance, Forum, PAF, Disaster, European Bank for Reconstruction, Global, Swiss, Central Asia Regional Economic Cooperation, Finance, Reuters, UN, University of Cambridge's Institute for Sustainability Leadership, United Nations, Food, Thomson Locations: GDANSK, LONDON, Dubai, London, Mexico

☆ Argentina's Milei thanks Chinese president, in softening of tone
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-23 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Argentine presidential candidate Javier Milei addresses supporters as they react to the results of Argentina's runoff presidential election, in Buenos Aires, Argentina November 19, 2023. REUTERS/Agustin Marcarian Acquire Licensing RightsBUENOS AIRES, Nov 22 (Reuters) - Argentine President-elect Javier Milei on Wednesday thanked Chinese President Xi Jinping for a letter congratulating him on last Sunday's elections results, a softening of tone from earlier harsh criticism of China's communist leadership. "I thank President Xi Jinping for the congratulations and good wishes," Milei said on his personal X account. Since the election, Milei has softened his tone with many he has previously criticized, including his countryman Pope Francis. In a separate post on Wednesday, Milei thanked former U.S. President Donald Trump for congratulations from his campaign team and said he hoped to meet soon.

Persons: Javier Milei, Agustin Marcarian, Xi Jinping, Milei, Xi, Pope Francis, Donald Trump, Adam Jourdan, Gabriel Araujo, Sarah Morland, Kylie Madry Organizations: Argentine, REUTERS, South American Mercosur, Thomson Locations: Buenos Aires, Argentina, BUENOS AIRES, Argentine, China, Brazil

U.S. Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. Deutsche Bank's CVIX (.DBCVIX) - the currency market's version of Wall St's "fear index" of stock volatility and a weighted average of implied "vol" in nine major pairings - has basically imploded. By driving short-term dollar cash rates and U.S. bond yields higher over the past 20 months, the Fed basically sucked cash from the wider investment world and supercharged dollar exchange rates everywhere. Now that it looks done, the buck's finally on the back foot - plumbing levels not seen since August. With implied volatility directionally biased, the dollar index and the CVIX are typically well correlated and both peaked in tandem in same month of September last year.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Deutsche Bank's, Chris Turner, Francesco Pesole, BOJ, BOE, Marcelli, Morgan Stanley, Matthew Hornbach, David Evans Organizations: REUTERS, Deutsche, U.S, ING, Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Bank of Japan, European Central Bank and Bank of England, ECB, UBS Global Wealth, Treasury, Thomson Locations: Ukraine, U.S . Federal, Japan, U.S

☆ Multipolar world opens up surprising safe havens
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-17 | by ( Felix Martin | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +7 min

This new-look cap table leaves the U.S. much more vulnerable to the vagaries of foreign investors than before. In a crisis, foreign investors would rush to buy even more U.S. debt. Reuters GraphicsA less orthodox option would be to invest in emerging markets instead. The last time net equity investment in the U.S. NIIP dipped close to negative territory was as the dot-com bubble was deflating in 2001. In the next six years the U.S. saw net equity outflows equivalent to nearly 30% of GDP.

Persons: Hubert Védrine, Xi Jinping, Joe Biden, ’, Donald Trump’s, exceptionalism, NIIP, Peter Thal Larsen, Streisand Neto, Thomas Shum Organizations: Reuters, French, U.S, United, United States, Treasury, Equity, U.S . Treasury, Japan, Democratic, Cooperation Council, Peterson Institute for International, Fed, ECB ”, Thomson Locations: United States, tatters, United, U.S, China, Hong Kong, Switzerland, Singapore, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, Argentina, Mexico, Brazil, Vietnam, India, Chile, Democratic Republic of, Congo, Washington

Rather, asset managers increasingly position these as now a feature of global investing choices rather than all-consuming shocks per se. Likely for the same reason, geopolitical risk monitors are at their highest in over 18 months too. Ebbing demand from a Chinese economy hobbled by property busts and a foreign investment withdrawal due to U.S. investment curbs also hurts. The VIX (.VIX) index of U.S. stock volatility is currently five points below its historic average 19 - and even July VIX futures hover on that mean. The opinions expressed here are those of the author, a columnist for ReutersReporting by Mike Dolan Editing by Mark PotterOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: there's, Washington's, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, What's, Melissa Brown, Axioma, Andrew McCaffery, Mike Dolan, Mark Potter Organizations: Bank of, Treasury, UBS Global Wealth Management, Barclays, Global CIO, Fidelity, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Ukraine, Israel, United States, India, Taiwan, Mexico, Britain, Gaza, Russia, China, Wall

☆ COP28’s big challenge: green cash for poor states
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-15 | by ( George Hay | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +7 min

Rather than drawing attention to this paucity of ambition, al-Jaber wants states to commit to trebling global capacity of renewable energy by 2030. Progress in China and the West is largely a function of cash: these regions accounted for 84% of the $1.3 trillion committed to global climate finance in 2022. They calculate that by 2030, developing countries need to invest around $2.4 trillion a year in order to decarbonise their economies. The problem is that the developed world has consistently missed targets to channel climate cash to less developed counterparts. In September al-Jaber announced a $4.5 billion scheme to deploy UAE state cash and private sector resources to help Africa decarbonise.

Persons: al, Jaber, hasn’t, Nicholas Stern, Stern, Ajay Banga, Mark Carney, Shriti Vadera, Larry Fink, Joko Widodo, UAE Crown Prince Mohammed bin Zayed, Nahyan, Breakingviews, Peter Thal Larsen, Oliver Taslic, Thomas Shum Organizations: Reuters, United, Conference of, Abu Dhabi National Oil Company, United Nations, International Energy Agency, The, IEA, World Bank, concessional, Bank, Bank of England, Prudential, BlackRock, U.S, Indonesian, Africa decarbonise, UAE Crown, Thomson Locations: United Arab Emirates, Abu Dhabi, Paris, China, The U.S, British, Egypt, Indonesia, Japan, South Africa, Vietnam, U.S, Al, UAE, Africa, COP28, Dubai

A recently edgy bond market gobbled all that up. Funds' bonds allocation in November soared 18 points over the month to leave them net 19% overweight - almost 3 standard deviations above long-term averages. Asset managers' overweight bond positions - or at least those in government bonds and U.S. Treasuries - tends to be mirrored by big short positions in Treasury futures among speculative hedge funds. CFTC numbers show the scale of that speculative 'Big Short' on the flipside of the mounting 'Big Long' built by regular asset managers. Lamont points out that U.S. Treasury yields and investment grade corporate debt yields would have to rise about another 100bps for the capital losses to wipe out current yields.

Persons: Sarah Silbiger, Lazard, Ronald Temple, Lombard Odier's Florian Ielpo, Duncan Lamont, Lamont, Jason Pride, Mike Dolan, Susan Fenton Organizations: El Progreso Market, Washington , D.C, REUTERS, Bank of America's, Treasury, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Mount Pleasant, Washington ,, what's

U.S. Federal Reserve officials are puzzling over why bond borrowing rates spiked lately even as Fed policy expectations have remained largely unchanged. Whether a resurfacing "term premium'" now demanded to buy and hold longer-term bonds, is responsible is central to the conundrum. Britain's brief budget and debt shock late last year and the way the Bank of England was forced to react was perhaps a taster. "Once current debt has been refinanced and the average interest on debt reflects the higher long rates, absent changes in policy, debt ratios will increase," Blanchard wrote. The opinions expressed here are those of the author, a columnist for Reutersby Mike Dolan Editing by Marguerita ChoyOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Marcos Brindicci, Olivier Blanchard, Washington's, Blanchard, it's, Morgan Stanley, Mike Dolan, Marguerita Choy Organizations: REUTERS, . Federal Reserve, Bank of England, International Monetary Fund, Washington's Peterson Institute for International Economics, U.S, Congressional, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Buenos Aires, Argentina, United States, Europe

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